because of weaker prospects for Canadianeconomic growth in 2008. “Those lower interest rates will also help temper the
erosion in housing affordability due to additional home price increases,” Bosley
added. The Bank of Canada is expected to cut its trend-setting rate again in
March.
CREA’s Chief Economist Gregory Klump says that the Canadian housing market
in 2008 will pull back from the breakneck pace set in 2007, but this is still forecast
to be the second-busiest year on record in almost all provinces, with residential
unit sales reaching an estimated 512,705 units.
Average prices for MLS® home sales are expected to keep setting records in
2008, although prices will increase more slowly as the market becomes more
balanced. In most provinces, the market will nevertheless remain historically tight
– with the tightest markets being in Saskatchewan and Manitoba. Nationwide, the
average residential price is forecast to increase 5.5 per cent to about $322,700.
According to CREA’s Chief Economist, a larger supply of listings will be one of
the balancing influences in 2008. New listings are forecast to rise in all provinces
except Alberta, where they’re expected to retreat after spiking in late 2007.
“The challenge for the Canadian housing market will be the extent to which
employment and consumer confidence may be affected by a slowdown in the
U.S. economy,” Ann Bosley adds.
“Slower job growth, not massive layoffs, are forecast for Canada in 2008,”
CREA’s Chief Economist Gregory Klump adds. “Consumer confidence may be
sideswiped by stock market volatility, and reports that chances of a U.S.
economic recession will put the brakes on the Canadian economy. With slower
job growth, a low unemployment rate and the absence of widespread layoffs,
consumer confidence will bounce back. The domestic economy and the housing
market will weather the sub-prime fallout with the help of lower interest rates”.